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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 285 (Idalia) , Major: 285 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 285 (Idalia) Major: 285 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2012 Storm Forum

danielwAdministrator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Area of Interest - Caribbean Invest 94L
      Wed May 23 2012 07:47 AM

I've been watching 94L for a few hours now. It really has no discernible features other than 2 or 3 areas of heavy thunderstorms.
One of the reporting stations, MUCL, on the southern Coast of Cuba reported near tropical storm force winds for about 3 hours earlier this evening. (See below)
The pressures are generally above 1009mb and most of the other reporting stations in the NW Caribbean have winds under 20 mph.

MUCL 230705Z AUTO 11017KT 25/23 Q1009
MUCL 230605Z AUTO 11023KT 25/23 Q1010
MUCL 230505Z AUTO 11023KT 25/23 Q1010
MUCL 230405Z AUTO 11026KT 25/23 Q1009
MUCL 230305Z AUTO 12028KT 25/23 Q1010
MUCL 230205Z AUTO 11030KT 25/23 Q1009
MUCL 230105Z AUTO 12025G37KT 25/22 Q1009
MUCL 230005Z AUTO 12025KT 25/22 Q1009

A few of the models suggest the system will slowly move across the Florida Straits and the Bahamas through Friday. Reach a point just offshore of the Jacksonville/ Savannah area and then retrograde back to the west for the weekend.

The model runs that I have looked at keep the system below Tropical Storm strength. Other than the possibility of more rain along the Florida Peninsula it appears that 94L will be a rainmaker for the Memorial Day Weekend.
Drive Safe.

**Note: The HWRF now takes the system to North Carolina. Possibly as a weak Tropical Storm, based on wind speeds. The system then bounces back and forth along the N.C. and S.C. beaches.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/models/d...;latestinvest=1

Edited by danielw (Wed May 23 2012 08:25 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Beryl cieldumort Wed May 23 2012 07:47 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Subtropical Storm Beryl Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun May 27 2012 04:28 AM
. * * Beryl Likely By Saturday Morning cieldumort   Sat May 26 2012 02:00 AM
. * * Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Advisories Initiated danielwAdministrator   Sat May 26 2012 02:41 AM
. * * Re: Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Advisories Initiated MichaelA   Sat May 26 2012 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Advisories Initiated k___g   Sun May 27 2012 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Sub Tropical Storm Beryl Advisories Initiated GlenJohnson   Sun May 27 2012 12:54 AM
. * * Sub-Tropical Storm Beryl Undergoing Phase Transition to Tropical CoconutCandy   Sat May 26 2012 05:22 PM
. * * Re: Sub-Tropical Storm Beryl Undergoing Phase Transition to Tropical Fairhopian   Sat May 26 2012 05:52 PM
. * * Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable cieldumort   Thu May 24 2012 07:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable MichaelA   Thu May 24 2012 10:31 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri May 25 2012 12:00 AM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable ftlaudbob   Fri May 25 2012 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable danielwAdministrator   Fri May 25 2012 02:52 AM
. * * Re: Invest 94L In Process of Becoming Nameable papaswamp   Fri May 25 2012 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Florida Invest 94L cieldumort   Thu May 24 2012 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Caribbean Invest 94L danielwAdministrator   Wed May 23 2012 07:47 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Caribbean Invest 94L cieldumort   Wed May 23 2012 09:05 AM

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