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cieldumort
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Posts: 2497
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Another Pre-Season Storm?
      Fri May 25 2012 05:57 PM

Quote:

Most of the models I'm looking at bring it off the coastal carolinas, then retrograde it into the Fl/Ga area as a very weak system. Maybe Ed or Daniel can answer this, When a system retrogrades, one would think it would naturally get weaker due to the cooler water caused by it's own CDO. Is this normally the case with early season storms? Or I might just be over thinking things, it is still the Preseason.



A CDO (Central Dense Overcast) in and of itself is not at all enough to cool the waters along the path of a tropical cyclone. What is really required to cool SSTs in your hypothetical, is a vigorous cyclone either moving slowly, or looping about over the same general area, such that the cool waters from below begin upwelling to the surface enough to cool down the SSTs.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Beryl Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Fri May 25 2012 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun May 27 2012 01:22 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sun May 27 2012 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Beryl Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun May 27 2012 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sun May 27 2012 12:54 AM
. * * Re: Beryl Forecast Lounge berrywr   Sun May 27 2012 01:15 AM
. * * Re: Another Pre-Season Storm? WeatherNut   Fri May 25 2012 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Another Pre-Season Storm? danielwAdministrator   Fri May 25 2012 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Another Pre-Season Storm? cieldumort   Fri May 25 2012 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Another Pre-Season Storm? cjzydeco   Fri May 25 2012 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Another Pre-Season Storm? Doombot!   Fri May 25 2012 04:47 PM
. * * Re: Another Pre-Season Storm? cieldumort   Fri May 25 2012 05:49 PM
. * * Re: Another Pre-Season Storm? M.A.   Fri May 25 2012 01:51 PM
. * * Re: Invest 94L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu May 24 2012 10:12 PM

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