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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge

LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser

Reged:
Posts: 1237
Loc: South Florida

Re: 10 day GFS Forecast
Mon Jun 18 2012 12:02 PM

Thanks for the long discussion. I have a lot of the same questions and thoughts as well, especially on how much El Nino will really affect this season. Timing is everything.

The MJO on the other hand is a more compelling aspect of tropical development as it is here and moving into the Caribbean.

The models have been good at predicting the increased moisture in the Carib now, question remains where it goes and also IF anything develops in the Pacific as that will influence the flow in the Carib.

"difluent conditions" that's funny, I can see it beginning to happen this morning down in the Carib, just where models were hinting at development.

Several models persist in trying to close off something off the SE tip of Florida, others form something elsewhere.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cg...;hour=Animation

A lot of talk and a lot of possibilities but we are still in wait and see mode.

MJO is the bird in the hand, what's in the bush is still hard to see.

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Mon Jun 18 2012 12:02 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	Ed Dunham	Thu May 10 2012 11:56 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	scottsvb	Sun May 13 2012 01:31 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	M.A.	Tue Jun 12 2012 07:45 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 14 2012 01:04 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	weathernet	Thu Jun 14 2012 11:23 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Fri Jun 15 2012 11:53 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	weathernet	Mon Jun 18 2012 07:52 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	LoisCane	Mon Jun 18 2012 12:02 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Wed Jun 20 2012 08:59 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	weathernet	Wed Jun 20 2012 02:40 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	weathernet	Thu Jun 21 2012 03:40 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	LoisCane	Thu Jun 21 2012 09:01 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Thu Jun 21 2012 11:00 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 11:52 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	MichaelA	Thu Jun 21 2012 01:51 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	LoisCane	Thu Jun 21 2012 12:58 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Thu Jun 21 2012 01:41 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 02:17 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	LoisCane	Thu Jun 21 2012 02:43 PM
RECON Tomorrow	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 02:48 PM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	NPR16	Thu Jun 21 2012 11:47 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	danielw	Thu Jun 21 2012 08:18 AM
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast	doug	Wed Jun 20 2012 03:10 PM

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