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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 301 (Idalia) , Major: 301 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 301 (Idalia) Major: 301 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge
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LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: 10 day GFS Forecast
      Thu Jun 21 2012 09:01 AM

I see where you're going with the Elena comparison ... however Elena was way later in the year, late August and the water in the Gulf would support that then...not as much now. Anything's possible, or relatively anything this particular year ....however support of a Cat 2 seems weak. That said, Cat 1 Hurricane is possible.

The steering currents are very transitional right now. We are swinging from unseasonably cool to extremely hot, fronts can come down stronger or bomb out during this current weather period.

Climo would say west towards Texas or NW Florida. Tampa is a long shot, but does bear watching.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* 10 day GFS Forecast danielwAdministrator Thu Jun 21 2012 09:01 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu May 10 2012 11:56 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast scottsvb   Sun May 13 2012 01:31 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast M.A.   Tue Jun 12 2012 07:45 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 14 2012 01:04 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast weathernet   Thu Jun 14 2012 11:23 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast doug   Fri Jun 15 2012 11:53 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast weathernet   Mon Jun 18 2012 07:52 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast LoisCane   Mon Jun 18 2012 12:02 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast doug   Wed Jun 20 2012 08:59 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast weathernet   Wed Jun 20 2012 02:40 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast weathernet   Thu Jun 21 2012 03:40 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast LoisCane   Thu Jun 21 2012 09:01 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast doug   Thu Jun 21 2012 11:00 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 21 2012 11:52 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast MichaelA   Thu Jun 21 2012 01:51 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast LoisCane   Thu Jun 21 2012 12:58 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast doug   Thu Jun 21 2012 01:41 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 21 2012 02:17 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast LoisCane   Thu Jun 21 2012 02:43 PM
. * * RECON Tomorrow danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 21 2012 02:48 PM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast NPR16   Thu Jun 21 2012 11:47 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 21 2012 08:18 AM
. * * Re: 10 day GFS Forecast doug   Wed Jun 20 2012 03:10 PM

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