Wow, your right?!! And just one other observation....., we've seen recon measure plenty of 270 degree (west) winds, and 315 degree winds, but oddly now that I am looking at your post cannot find any actual winds from the NNW to North.
This whole mess really seems more a mesoscale convective system than tropical storm for the moment. With the range of dynamics in play, would'nt it just be weird to have the present LLC truly rotate cyclonically back and under some newly forming MLC and just "bomb out" - dropping a quick 10 mb.s?? With the greater than normal spread of model solutions, the on-going evolution is really fascinating to watch.
That said, this really IS turning into a "paralysis of analysis"; i'm taking a break and getting some breakfast....., um I mean dinner.
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