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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 276 (Idalia) , Major: 276 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 276 (Idalia) Major: 276 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge

LoisCane
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1236
Loc: South Florida
Re: Debby Forecast Lounge
      Sun Jun 24 2012 06:29 AM

I see the forecast discussion written. I also see the Water Vapor Loop.

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/webpics/goes/Storm/AOI0/latest_wv_loop.gif

The stalemate is over with regard to steering currents i think and the path to the north is no longer blocked... or rather a path towards the Panhandle/NW Florida area...

Canadian also supports this and in the end the GFS may have been right.

That water vapor loop changed drastically over the last few hours. Possibly the moisture itself from the east side of the storm helped to break it down. Not sure, but it's not just about a strong cold front diving down.

It's about the path that is easiest to take... that is what weak storms do..they go with the flow or they go with the easy road... and they try and stay away from sand traps or other negative factors.

Will see how she looks on morning visible.

Anyone's guess is as good as anyone else's right now.

--------------------
http://hurricaneharbor.blogspot.com/

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Debby Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Jun 24 2012 06:29 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jun 26 2012 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge berrywr   Tue Jun 26 2012 08:12 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 27 2012 12:34 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jun 27 2012 02:25 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge DaViking   Wed Jun 27 2012 03:35 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge DaViking   Wed Jun 27 2012 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge dolfinatic   Wed Jun 27 2012 07:30 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge dolfinatic   Wed Jun 27 2012 08:48 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge JoshuaK   Wed Jun 27 2012 12:29 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Jun 27 2012 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge berrywr   Wed Jun 27 2012 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge HeadacheslayerInFL   Wed Jun 27 2012 03:29 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Wed Jun 27 2012 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge GlenJohnson   Thu Jun 28 2012 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Jun 28 2012 04:43 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 28 2012 06:39 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge berrywr   Fri Jun 29 2012 03:43 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Fri Jun 29 2012 05:59 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge doug   Thu Jun 28 2012 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge berrywr   Wed Jun 27 2012 05:43 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge dolfinatic   Wed Jun 27 2012 05:50 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge k___g   Sat Jun 23 2012 02:01 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Fri Jun 22 2012 01:24 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Invest 96L Near North Yucatan Coast B.C.Francis   Thu Jun 21 2012 11:10 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jun 21 2012 07:43 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 05:12 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Sat Jun 23 2012 11:22 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sat Jun 23 2012 12:49 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Thu Jun 21 2012 07:58 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Jun 21 2012 08:14 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Jasonch   Thu Jun 21 2012 08:19 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Jun 21 2012 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Jun 21 2012 10:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Thu Jun 21 2012 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Jun 21 2012 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 22 2012 02:29 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Fri Jun 22 2012 02:32 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Jun 22 2012 06:24 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Jun 22 2012 09:59 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Fri Jun 22 2012 11:59 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Fri Jun 22 2012 03:22 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Fri Jun 22 2012 03:36 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Fri Jun 22 2012 04:04 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Fri Jun 22 2012 04:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 22 2012 05:39 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Fri Jun 22 2012 06:22 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge k___g   Fri Jun 22 2012 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 01:52 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 02:50 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sat Jun 23 2012 03:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 04:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Jun 23 2012 04:33 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Sat Jun 23 2012 04:59 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sat Jun 23 2012 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jun 23 2012 08:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 08:25 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 08:34 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jun 23 2012 05:37 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sat Jun 23 2012 05:44 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Sat Jun 23 2012 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 06:49 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Sat Jun 23 2012 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Sat Jun 23 2012 07:16 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Sat Jun 23 2012 06:55 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jun 23 2012 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sat Jun 23 2012 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 05:57 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sat Jun 23 2012 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Sat Jun 23 2012 07:03 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 07:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Sat Jun 23 2012 07:36 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 07:20 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Sat Jun 23 2012 07:34 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 07:13 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Sat Jun 23 2012 08:36 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge doug   Sat Jun 23 2012 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge weathernet   Sat Jun 23 2012 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Jun 23 2012 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge weathernet   Sat Jun 23 2012 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge srquirrely   Sat Jun 23 2012 11:31 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge GlenJohnson   Sat Jun 23 2012 11:12 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge kromdog   Sun Jun 24 2012 12:57 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 02:06 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 03:13 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 03:29 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jun 24 2012 04:07 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge weathernet   Sun Jun 24 2012 06:06 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge weathernet   Sun Jun 24 2012 06:54 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 12:20 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Sun Jun 24 2012 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Sun Jun 24 2012 04:55 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 05:16 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 05:59 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 06:20 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 06:26 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 07:08 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 07:42 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge GlenJohnson   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:05 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Wingwiper   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:20 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Wingwiper   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:44 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sun Jun 24 2012 10:33 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Mon Jun 25 2012 12:35 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Mon Jun 25 2012 02:43 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Jun 25 2012 02:58 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Mon Jun 25 2012 03:28 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 25 2012 10:39 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge kromdog   Mon Jun 25 2012 03:05 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge k___g   Mon Jun 25 2012 04:02 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Jun 25 2012 08:22 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Wingwiper   Mon Jun 25 2012 09:49 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge GlenJohnson   Mon Jun 25 2012 11:25 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge k___g   Mon Jun 25 2012 11:03 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 25 2012 08:26 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Jun 25 2012 08:33 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Mon Jun 25 2012 01:13 PM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge dolfinatic   Mon Jun 25 2012 02:55 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Mon Jun 25 2012 03:20 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge kromdog   Mon Jun 25 2012 02:24 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 06:29 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 06:04 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 03:55 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 04:09 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 04:34 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 04:51 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 05:21 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sun Jun 24 2012 12:01 AM
. * * Re: Debby Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jun 23 2012 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Sat Jun 23 2012 08:46 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Fri Jun 22 2012 03:02 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Fri Jun 22 2012 03:12 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge weathernet   Fri Jun 22 2012 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge NPR16   Thu Jun 21 2012 11:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge doug   Thu Jun 21 2012 07:07 PM
. * * Re: Invest 96L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Jun 21 2012 07:19 PM

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