Quote: ...one to the NNW across S.E. Louisiana (UK), which leaves the EURO as the outlier taking the storm to Texas (and still awaiting its 0Z update)
UPDATE: Well, perhaps the NAM still takes Debby to the Texas coast; 0Z EURO has Debby making landfall in extreme S.E. Louisiana as a 985mb hurricane. Could still drag westward from there, but a significant "right hand" shift here as well.
If in fact if Debby moves N.N.E. and over N. Central Florida as it appears to be doing, I believe post analysis of model discrepancies will bare out that with this particular storm, the GFS had "better initialized" strength & position for each of its more recent runs. Therefore, if Debby were right now a more vertically developed storm and perhaps 150 miles farther to the west, perhaps Debby would now be moving more westward.
0 registered and 168 anonymous users are browsing this forum.
Moderator:
Forum Permissions
You cannot start new topics
You cannot reply to topics
HTML is disabled
UBBCode is enabled
Rating:
Thread views: 53896
Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources.
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well.
Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center