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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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danielwAdministrator
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Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC?
      Sun Jun 24 2012 08:05 AM

Way to early to call. Indeed Debby is probably a bit stronger than she was last night. I haven't checked the buoy obs yet. Radar and Satellite obs indicate the convection has wrapped around from the NW Quad to the SW Quad in the last 2 hours. The is a nice? thunderstorm cluster at the western edge of what appears to be a CDO. It's has a very thin appearance at first light. New Orleans radar on long range confirms the convection wrapping around Debby. Even though the altitude of the radar at long range is very high the wrap is still visible on the loop.

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=LIX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=no

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=LIX&product=N0Z&overlay=11101111&loop=yes



Wind shear is relaxing on the western side of Debby. The following images are 7 hours apart. In the bottom image notice how much more white is visible on the western half of the storm especially near the MS/ AL line.
It appears that early signs of outflow are present. The small wispy horsetail looking white clouds. Cirrus fingers.






Edited by danielw (Sun Jun 24 2012 08:14 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? weathernet Sun Jun 24 2012 08:05 AM
. * * Admin Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? kromdog   Sun Jun 24 2012 04:40 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? doug   Sun Jun 24 2012 07:03 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:11 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? kromdog   Sun Jun 24 2012 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? Littlebit   Sun Jun 24 2012 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? LoisCane   Sun Jun 24 2012 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:23 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:05 AM
. * * Debby Vortex danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 24 2012 08:17 AM
. * * Re: Debby - "Mulligan" for NHC? Joeyfl   Sun Jun 24 2012 04:37 AM

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