I was surprised there wasn't a 2 am intermediate advisory released; that said, I was still up at that time and I couldn't find Debby on IR satellite or radar; I'm betting NHC couldn't find her either and what observations at 2 am were suggesting is either the center reformed farther east or the center split in half; one piece moving SSE towards Tampla; the other continuing to move ENE closer to convection which was over the Atlantic. I looked at the buoy data and there was no help there either. It boiled down to two observation sites; one near Tampa and the other was St. Augustine for lowest pressure. We all thought last night she was moving towards Tampa due to what NHC believed was a gust front...I think a part of her did and dissipated there; the other is where plots had her from the start. One note...a thunderstorm complex is capable of developing vorticity maximums or mesoscale lows...last night NWSFO Miami had to issue wind advisories for their neck of the woods for sustained winds of 25 to 30 mph with gusts to 40 and 45 mph...well removed from Debby...but not gravity wakes which is a subject for another day.
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