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Gulf area up to 60% chance for weak development. A new Atlantic system is now up with a 20% chance for development, FL east coast and GA coast should watch for mid-late this week.**
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 291 (Idalia) , Major: 291 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 291 (Idalia) Major: 291 (Idalia)
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Tropical Waves
      Mon Jul 30 2012 06:23 AM

The larger wave, with a weak low center pegged near 9.7N 34.3W, has been tagged Invest 99L. Meanwhile, the weaker weave located near 14N 62.5W continues the process of consolidating some deeper convection as it crosses the Lesser Antilles.

Environmental conditions suggest both have some chance for gradual development. On one hand, wind shear appears light to moderate over 99L, while moderate to high over the wave now crossing the Antilles. However, the closer wave (14N 62.5W) could continue to get a bit of a boost from the higher shear, and "flame-up" as it enters progressively warmer waters in the Caribbean, depending on track.

Still very low odds for the immediate future: NHC gives 99L a 20% probability of developing within 48 hours, and makes no mention at all of the closer wave, although if convection persists, it also may get a mention, perhaps later this morning.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Waves - Invest 91L Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Jul 30 2012 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Waves - Invest 91L ftlaudbob   Sat Aug 04 2012 06:45 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Waves - Invest 91L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 04 2012 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Waves - Invest 91L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 05 2012 12:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Lounge Random Chaos   Fri Aug 03 2012 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Waves Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Jul 30 2012 04:43 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Waves cieldumort   Mon Jul 30 2012 06:23 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Waves danielwAdministrator   Mon Jul 30 2012 10:25 AM
. * * 99L Thoughts... danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 01 2012 03:38 AM
. * * Re: 99L Thoughts... Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 01 2012 05:22 AM
. * * Invest 91L Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 03 2012 07:47 PM

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