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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto
      Mon Aug 06 2012 11:41 PM

Ernesto, which had been on the upswing this morning, has certainly been on the downswing this afternoon and evening. At 07/03Z I had estimated the center at 16.7N 83.2W within the ballpark of the NHC position report. Forward motion over the past 6 hours has been just about due west rather than west northwest.

While dry air has certainly played a role in the declining appearance of the storm, I think that an additional cause has been yet another increase in the low level easterly flow that decoupled the system - again - with the mid to upper level portion of the storm currently displaced well to the east. There is still time prior to landfall Tuesday evening (probably in northern Belize near Belize City) for Ernesto to become vertically stacked and restrengthen one more time.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHETUMAL TO PUNTA ALLEN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA
* THE ENTIRE COAST OF BELIZE

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM THE HONDURAS/NICARAGUA BORDER WESTWARD
TO PUNTA SAL...INCLUDING THE BAY ISLANDS
* NORTH OF PUNTA ALLEN TO TULUM ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF HONDURAS FROM WEST OF PUNTA SAL TO THE
HONDURAS/GUATEMALA BORDER
* NORTH OF TULUM TO CANCUN ON THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA

Weather at Belize City, Belize

ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto cieldumort Mon Aug 06 2012 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto cieldumort   Tue Aug 07 2012 03:00 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2012 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 02 2012 09:35 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 05 2012 08:10 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 06 2012 11:41 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 07 2012 05:42 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 12:32 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 11:30 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Aug 08 2012 01:12 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Ernesto berrywr   Tue Aug 07 2012 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Vigorous Invest 99L cieldumort   Wed Aug 01 2012 01:48 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Vigorous Invest 99L Joeyfl   Wed Aug 01 2012 03:14 PM

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