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With today's 5PM NHC #HurricaneBeryl update, the U.S. is now officially in the cone for the first time. Jamaica to Mexico to Texas.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 307 (Idalia) , Major: 307 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 307 (Idalia) Major: 307 (Idalia)
Hur Beryl
ADV#16A 7:00 pm EDT
15.6N 69.9W
Wind: 155MPH
Pres: 943mb
Moving:
Wnw at 22 mph
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2342
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Depression 7
      Fri Aug 17 2012 05:03 PM

At about 4:30 PM EDT this afternoon, Aug 17, recon found strong evidence of a closing or already closed center with maximum sustained winds at the surface of at least 40 MPH (with the on board SFMR actually suggesting about 48 MPH). Tropical Storm force winds are so far only noted within a very small radius, and Seven is a small cyclone.

Seven is very close to the shore, presently about 20.5N 96W, and advisories on Tropical Storm Helene could be initiated within short order. Given Seven's forward speed and trajectory, it is now looking more possible that it skirts the shore, or moves just inland, and then may have about even odds of reemerging over the far western Gulf of Mexico by the end of this weekend.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Concern: Tropical Storm Helene cieldumort Fri Aug 17 2012 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Depression 7 cieldumort   Fri Aug 17 2012 05:03 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Helene danielwAdministrator   Fri Aug 17 2012 05:34 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Helene WeatherNut   Fri Aug 17 2012 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Depression 7 cieldumort   Fri Aug 17 2012 03:26 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Depression 7 weatherhead   Fri Aug 17 2012 08:15 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Invest 92L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Aug 09 2012 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Invest 92L LoisCane   Thu Aug 09 2012 04:12 PM

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