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Newly tagged Invest 91L in the Central American Gyre heading towards MX/TX, a slow and sprawling flood threat. Bahamas hybrid well E of FL 10%/30% odd and expected to track back to the W across FL or SE US this week.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 292 (Idalia) , Major: 292 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 292 (Idalia) Major: 292 (Idalia)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2012 Storm Forum

doug
Weather Analyst


Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L
      Sun Aug 19 2012 11:50 AM

There seems to be considerable organization necessary for the NHC to declare that a cyclone has formed. I agree that the area in the NW portion of the envelope is becoming the dominant focal point, but it is not there yet at least based on visible evidence this am. I am also interested in the situation near the remnant of Helene. A burst of convection is occurring over the waters east of Mexico. While there is still evidence of a circulation over land the dynamic of the trough diving quickly SE'wrd over Texas may induce the circulation more to the east back over water...this still bears watching IMO.

9:35 update there seems to be a circulation at about 14.2/36.2. Two large convective areas are generally south and NW of that pointmso further organization will have to occur, but it seems to be underway.
The area of convection near the Mexico coast in the SW GOM is growing. The eastern edge of the former Helene's circulation seems to be just on the coast and may be over water, but most of it is on shore...still interesting.
Off to a conf. for a few days

--------------------
doug

Edited by doug (Sun Aug 19 2012 01:40 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Concern: Isaac cieldumort Sun Aug 19 2012 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: TD 9 cieldumort   Tue Aug 21 2012 07:14 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: TD 9 cieldumort   Tue Aug 21 2012 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L cieldumort   Mon Aug 20 2012 08:03 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L cieldumort   Sun Aug 19 2012 06:25 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L doug   Sun Aug 19 2012 11:50 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 17 2012 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 19 2012 03:34 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Aug 19 2012 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Aug 20 2012 04:10 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 21 2012 05:22 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Isaac Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 24 2012 04:38 AM
. * * Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Isaac Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Aug 28 2012 03:43 AM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Tropical Storm Isaac berrywr   Tue Aug 28 2012 05:40 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Invest 94L danielwAdministrator   Sun Aug 19 2012 03:57 PM

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