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Tropical Storm Watch issued for the Lower and Middle Florida Keys from Key West to W of Channel 5 Bridge, and for the Dry Tortugas #RAFAEL #FLWX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 26 (Milton) , Major: 26 (Milton) Florida - Any: 26 (Milton) Major: 26 (Milton)
Rem Patty
ADV#10 11:00 am EDT
38.5N 16.2W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 999mb
Moving:
Ene at 17 mph
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TS Rafael
ADV#5A 6:00 pm EDT
15.8N 76.9W
Wind: 45MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
Nnw at 9 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Invest 95L Forecast Lounge
      Sun Aug 19 2012 02:20 PM

An invest tag has been put up for the surface trough associated with remnant energy of former Helene, so we will start a lounge at this time on Invest 95L.

As noted above, this vigorous surface trough includes some remnant energy from former Tropical Storm Helene, and has intermittently drifted just offshore of Mexico, into the extreme western Gulf of Mexico. The current best guess as to its central location around 21.7N.98.1W.

Invest 95L is presently analyzed to be 1005mb with maximum sustained winds of about 20 knots; movement is practically stationary, or drifting.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.

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* Invest 95L Forecast Lounge cieldumort Sun Aug 19 2012 02:20 PM

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