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Another likely quiet week in the Atlantic Basin, and likely will remain quiet until the first week of August.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 16 (Beryl) , Major: 329 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 329 (Idalia) Major: 329 (Idalia)

Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge


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Loc: Austin, Tx
Tropical Depression 10 Forecast Lounge
      Mon Aug 20 2012 06:11 PM

The wave presently located in the far eastern Atlantic, southwest of the Cape Verde islands as of 08/20 6PM EDT, has been showing some steady improvement throughout the day today, and now has around a 30% chance of becoming a tropical depression within the next 48 hours per NHC, which could be conservative, so we will start a Lounge on this system.

As of 6:00 PM EDT Aug. 20, 96L was centered roughly near 10.5N 26W (give or take a good bit, as this system still a bit sloppy and organizing). Minimum pressure is around 1010mb, or less, and maximum sustained winds are about 25-30 MPH.

This is where to put long range best guesses on intensity and forecast track. Long range model output discussions are also appropriate here.

(Title changed to reflect system upgrade.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Wed Aug 22 2012 09:42 AM)

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