I would guess that we will probably have a depression by early morning on 94L. While convection near center is minimal right now I think it is slowly getting its act together. Dvorak numbers are only 1.0 right now from both TAFB and SAB, would like to see these in the 1.5/2.0 range. Again it is quite surprising to see the reliable models in such good agreement through through the long term. As this develops and moves into Caribbean the important factor will be its interaction with Hispaniola and eastern mountains of Cuba. If it slides just south z(GFS/ECMWF) of the these islands it could mean a stronger storm/hurricane.
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