Right now I just don't see much to suggest a high probability of a significant turn northward. SWAG based largely on local and past experience, and little more, but right now I would guess little turn, a close approach to the LA delta region, a jog west, with landfall late Wednesday morning around the TX/LA border - Cameron, LA to Sabine Pass - as a strong Cat 2, possibly Cat 3. Pretty close to HWRF 1800Z prediction.
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