I just glanced at the models and they are clustered just south of New Orleans. Hurricane Betsy type track. The left models stop at Vermillion Bay, the bay on the central Louisiana Coast and the right models stop at Mobile Bay. These are the early models.
The late models extend from Port Arthur, TX to Gulf Shores, AL
Not much spread in there. The EXTRAP extends just south of New Orleans and follows or leads the clustering.
Latest RECON drop has 979mb with a 28 mile EYE that's open to the South. Things Could change here shortly. Almost All of the models would be worthless if Issac forms an EYE and the pressure continues to drop.
I believe the GFS correctly predicted a consolidation of the Vortex about 4 days ago near the present location of Issac.
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