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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 299 (Idalia) , Major: 299 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 299 (Idalia) Major: 299 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge
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Joeyfl
Weather Guru


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Posts: 133
Loc: St.Pete,FL
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge
      Thu Aug 30 2012 03:01 PM

Buoy 41041 is now just couple hours away from the center passing overhead. Currently a rapidly falling pressure is being seen (~1008mb) winds out of the NNW . Leslie looks to be getting more and more organized with deep convection firing near the center and impressive banding and outflow features. Would not be surprised to see Leslie a major hurricane at some point in near future with conducive environment ahead of her. Track reasoning is for it to be a fish storm, however thats not a guarantee quite yet as it is plowing along to the west. Models believe it will feel a weakness to the north left behind from Kirk and the trough picking Kirk up however it could potentially miss this pick-up and get caught in an area of weak steering before ridge builds back in. Euro is furthest west with possible impact on Bermuda and New England? We will have to see how it plays out as the post above makes a good point in Kirk being a very small cane and ridge may try to nose back in before Leslie makes a sharp enough turn.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Leslie Forecast Lounge cieldumort Thu Aug 30 2012 03:01 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 04 2012 11:08 AM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Tue Sep 04 2012 08:56 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 04 2012 09:05 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Wed Sep 05 2012 02:04 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 05 2012 02:25 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 31 2012 01:42 AM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Fri Aug 31 2012 04:30 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Fri Aug 31 2012 05:17 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Sat Sep 01 2012 12:06 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 02 2012 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Aug 29 2012 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 29 2012 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Wed Aug 29 2012 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Aug 30 2012 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Myles   Thu Aug 30 2012 09:08 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu Aug 30 2012 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Aug 30 2012 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Aug 30 2012 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Aug 30 2012 02:07 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Aug 30 2012 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Aug 30 2012 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Leslie Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Aug 30 2012 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Leslie Forecast Lounge cjzydeco   Tue Aug 28 2012 09:37 PM

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