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Invest 95L in the Tropical Atlantic now has a 90% chance to develop over the next 7 days, and a 70% chance to do so in the next 48 hours. Recon scheduled for Sunday morning.a
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2327
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge
      Tue Sep 04 2012 11:08 AM

Leslie persists as a large, highly-sheared tropical storm, with the models and NHC staying rather bullish on her in the extended period, now taking a significant, and possibly major hurricane right by Bermuda over the coming weekend.

Being that large systems are more difficult to shear out, and that later in the week shear is expected to lessen as Leslie enters what is forecast to be a very favorable upper air environment, it seems reasonable to assume that the consensus (and official) forecast could very well play out.

All that said, the cyclone looks especially challenged this morning, and it is possible that NHC's current intensity estimate of 65 MPH gets throttled back later today or tomorrow.

Further weakening could result in substantial changes to the forecast at 3-5 days out.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Leslie Forecast Lounge cieldumort Tue Sep 04 2012 11:08 AM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Sep 04 2012 11:08 AM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Tue Sep 04 2012 08:56 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Tue Sep 04 2012 09:05 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Wed Sep 05 2012 02:04 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 05 2012 02:25 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 31 2012 01:42 AM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Fri Aug 31 2012 04:30 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Fri Aug 31 2012 05:17 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Sat Sep 01 2012 12:06 PM
. * * Re: TS Leslie Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sun Sep 02 2012 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Aug 29 2012 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Wed Aug 29 2012 07:57 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Wed Aug 29 2012 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Aug 30 2012 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Myles   Thu Aug 30 2012 09:08 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu Aug 30 2012 09:24 AM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Aug 30 2012 12:09 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Aug 30 2012 01:06 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Aug 30 2012 02:07 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Aug 30 2012 03:01 PM
. * * Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Aug 30 2012 06:36 PM
. * * Re: Leslie Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Aug 30 2012 08:16 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Leslie Forecast Lounge cjzydeco   Tue Aug 28 2012 09:37 PM

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