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First day of the Atlantic Hurricane season, no tropical activity on the horizon in the near term. Mid August is usually when things pick up.
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Storm Forum

cieldumort
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Posts: 2306
Loc: Austin, Tx
Area of Interest: Northern Gulf (90L)
      Wed Sep 05 2012 07:02 AM



A fairly impressive low to mid level disturbance associated with some of the remnant vorticity left over from Hurricane Isaac (see image below) has drifted south from the mid-west, through Louisiana/Alabama/Mississippi/Florida during the day Tuesday, and is now entering the northern Gulf of Mexico.

Below: Three Day Sequence of Lower-Level Vorticity

Image credit: UW-Madison SSEC/CIMSS. H/T: Stu Ostro

Pressures in this portion of the northern Gulf of Mexico have been falling with the approach of this area of disturbed weather, and are now down to around 1010mb. With shear in its immediate path presently running from a favorable 5, to not insurmountable 20 knots, and with very supportive sea surface temperatures, the only obvious detractor is that it is surrounded by dry air.

All in all, some development looks very possible.


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* Area of Interest: Northern Gulf (90L) cieldumort Wed Sep 05 2012 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest: Northern Gulf GuppieGrouper   Wed Sep 05 2012 11:09 AM

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