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#93L now a small better defined circulation with deep convection set to come ashore N of Tampico, MX. Recon investigating. Still 40% odds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 298 (Idalia) , Major: 298 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 298 (Idalia) Major: 298 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge
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Joeyfl
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 133
Loc: St.Pete,FL
Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge
      Wed Sep 05 2012 09:08 PM

90L is going to be a rather slow developer if it does at all. I would say 50/50 right now. I feel confident that this gets maybe as strong as moderate TS at its highest. Cimss analysis wind shear shows 20-40 knot wind shear over the eastern Gulf/FL to east of the system, however it is dropping into an area of low shear 10 knots or less. So shear will not be as big of an issue I think as the dry air around the system will be. However as front/trough drop into the north Gulf this weekend shear will increase moving into the weekend when it will get picked up and shoved E and NE across FL.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Invest 90L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Sep 05 2012 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 05 2012 09:12 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge berrywr   Fri Sep 07 2012 12:23 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Sat Sep 08 2012 07:54 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Sep 05 2012 03:37 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Wed Sep 05 2012 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Wed Sep 05 2012 06:16 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Wed Sep 05 2012 06:44 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 05 2012 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Sep 05 2012 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge TXEB   Wed Sep 05 2012 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Sep 06 2012 06:28 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge TXEB   Thu Sep 06 2012 07:16 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Thu Sep 06 2012 07:40 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge doug   Thu Sep 06 2012 09:19 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu Sep 06 2012 09:36 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu Sep 06 2012 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Sep 06 2012 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Thu Sep 06 2012 02:17 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge doug   Thu Sep 06 2012 03:30 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu Sep 06 2012 05:21 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Thu Sep 06 2012 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Sep 07 2012 05:30 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge GuppieGrouper   Fri Sep 07 2012 06:49 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu Sep 06 2012 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Thu Sep 06 2012 01:38 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge *Killed -- Sent to Graveyard* Joeyfl   Thu Sep 06 2012 01:41 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Thu Sep 06 2012 02:08 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Wed Sep 05 2012 10:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Thu Sep 06 2012 12:31 AM
. * * Re: Invest 90L Forecast Lounge TXEB   Wed Sep 05 2012 10:17 PM

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