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Area in the MDR Atlantic being watched for later next week, 20% chance of development. Leeward Islands need to watch closely.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 18 (Beryl) , Major: 331 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 331 (Idalia) Major: 331 (Idalia)
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cieldumort
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Loc: Austin, Tx
Patty Forecast Lounge
      Wed Oct 10 2012 02:54 PM



A tropical low pressure system located several hundred miles east of Miami, Florida is being tracked as Invest 97L. This system has become better organized today, and a tropical cyclone may be forming despite low probability odds per NHC.

While 97L is expected to merge with a front later this week and move off to the east or northeast, there is a window of opportunity for the incipient cyclone to head more southerly instead, and impact the Bahamas, Cuba, and locations in that general area.

This is where to put your mid to long range best guesses on potential for further development, intensity, and forecast track. Longer range model output discussions are also appropriate here.

Title edited to reflect upgrade.

Edited by cieldumort (Fri Oct 12 2012 10:19 PM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Patty Forecast Lounge cieldumort Wed Oct 10 2012 02:54 PM
. * * Re: TD #16 Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Thu Oct 11 2012 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Patty Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Oct 11 2012 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Wed Oct 10 2012 05:35 PM

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