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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Interest - Hurricane Rafael
      Wed Oct 10 2012 07:01 PM

At 10/21Z, Invest 98L was beginning to consolidate a weak center near 9.5N 53.5W - movement is stil to the west northwest at about 12 knots. Sustained winds are close to 30 knots and central pressure is 1008MB. Some of the models project an almost instant change in direction to the northwest and north northwest, but they have been expecting that movement for the last few days under the anticipation that the system would begin to develop. A more northwesterly direction still seems likely, but not for a day or two. Southwesterly wind shear is on the increase over the islands so any development will be slow to occur. SSTs are still warm at 29C.
ED

(Title changed to reflect change in storm status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Oct 15 2012 07:53 PM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Hurricane Rafael Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Oct 10 2012 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Rafael Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Oct 13 2012 08:51 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Hurricane Rafael Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 14 2012 10:47 AM

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