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Area in the MDR Atlantic being watched for later next week, 20% chance of development. Leeward Islands need to watch closely.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 18 (Beryl) , Major: 331 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 331 (Idalia) Major: 331 (Idalia)
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
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Posts: 2351
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: TD #16 Forecast Lounge
      Thu Oct 11 2012 01:32 PM

Invest 97L has become Tropical Depression #16. Sixteen is presently centered near 25.5N 72.5W, and has been drifting ever so slowly to the south with an expected turn more to the southwest; however, models are somewhat split, with several in the group taking TD 16 off to the northeast, and others suggesting variations of a loop.

Shear over TD 16 is not terribly prohibitive for some further strengthening in the near term, but is forecast to deal a death blow to the cyclone within 48 hours. Still, it is worth noting that 97L/16 has been rather tenacious.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Patty Forecast Lounge cieldumort Thu Oct 11 2012 01:32 PM
. * * Re: TD #16 Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Thu Oct 11 2012 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Patty Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Thu Oct 11 2012 06:42 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Wed Oct 10 2012 05:35 PM

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