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Gulf area (91L) now up to 90% chance for Development, Texas and Louisiana should watch it closely. Two other areas in the Atlantic away from land 50/60% chances respectively.
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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Forecast Lounge
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cieldumort
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 2386
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge
      Tue Oct 23 2012 03:33 AM

Trying to remember the last time (if ever) I have read a Forecast Discussion that called for a tropical cyclone to be "Subtropical" at Day 5 (instead of the usual "Post-Tropical," or "Extratropical," or "Dissipated"). Looks like NHC is giving some heavy consideration to model runs that do indeed show a strong possibility of a 'Perfect Storm.'

BY 120 HOURS...SANDY IS EXPECTED TO
INTERACT WITH A DEEP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH THAT COULD INDUCE
TRANSITION INTO A SIGNIFICANT SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE. THE OFFICIAL
INTENSITY FORECAST IS HIGHER THAN THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY THROUGH 48
HOURS...AND CLOSELY FOLLOWS A BLEND OF THE ICON...IV15...IVCN
INTENSITY CONSENSUS MODELS.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 23/0300Z 12.7N 78.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 23/1200Z 13.6N 78.4W 50 KT 60 MPH
24H 24/0000Z 14.8N 77.9W 60 KT 70 MPH
36H 24/1200Z 16.6N 77.5W 70 KT 80 MPH
48H 25/0000Z 18.5N 77.1W 60 KT 70 MPH...INLAND OVER JAMAICA
72H 26/0000Z 22.7N 75.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...OVER WATER
96H 27/0000Z 25.7N 75.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
120H 28/0000Z 28.2N 73.6W 55 KT 65 MPH...SUBTROPICAL

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort Tue Oct 23 2012 03:33 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge jkapust   Wed Oct 24 2012 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:43 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 11:43 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Fri Oct 26 2012 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Fri Oct 26 2012 06:32 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 01:52 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge berrywr   Fri Oct 26 2012 04:31 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:30 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Troy C   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:10 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Oct 22 2012 08:38 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Mon Oct 22 2012 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Oct 23 2012 12:08 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 23 2012 12:21 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Oct 23 2012 11:23 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 11:05 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Oct 24 2012 02:56 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 05:26 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Wed Oct 24 2012 06:46 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 26 2012 07:37 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Fri Oct 26 2012 07:51 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Fri Oct 26 2012 10:45 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Oct 26 2012 11:29 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 27 2012 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 10:48 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 11:01 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Sat Oct 27 2012 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge HobbyistinNH   Sat Oct 27 2012 01:19 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 27 2012 02:24 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 05:40 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Oct 27 2012 11:40 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2012 12:23 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:20 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:29 AM
. * * Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:49 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? berrywr   Sun Oct 28 2012 03:46 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 03:59 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? cieldumort   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:28 AM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:33 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 28 2012 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 06:10 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? MichaelA   Sun Oct 28 2012 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:07 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? HobbyistinNH   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:34 PM
. * * Re: Dodge MA and NH? Random Chaos   Sun Oct 28 2012 11:46 PM
. * * Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane cieldumort   Mon Oct 29 2012 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane HobbyistinNH   Mon Oct 29 2012 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Sandy: Subtropical Hurricane ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 29 2012 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Oct 24 2012 08:24 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Wed Oct 24 2012 08:27 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 01:37 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Thu Oct 25 2012 02:09 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 03:04 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Oct 25 2012 03:47 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:05 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 07:41 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 25 2012 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Oct 25 2012 09:33 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 23 2012 03:33 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Tue Oct 23 2012 08:38 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Tue Oct 23 2012 09:30 AM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge doug   Tue Oct 23 2012 04:41 PM
. * * Re: Sandy Forecast Lounge Joeyfl   Tue Oct 23 2012 07:01 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge bobbutts   Mon Oct 22 2012 12:24 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Oct 22 2012 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Mon Oct 22 2012 05:20 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Mon Oct 22 2012 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Brewing Up Two More Invests ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 21 2012 05:05 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Oct 21 2012 07:55 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Sun Oct 21 2012 09:01 AM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Sun Oct 21 2012 06:41 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge doug   Sun Oct 21 2012 07:32 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Oct 21 2012 10:25 PM
. * * Re: Invest 99L Forecast Lounge WeatherNut   Mon Oct 22 2012 11:22 AM

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