No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any
20 (Milton)
, Major:
20 (Milton)
Florida - Any: 20 (Milton)
Major:
20 (Milton)
Posting the marine discussion from Miami tonight, bolding the important parts.
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 250 PM EDT TUE OCT 23 2012
MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLC...AND SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W. ...
SW N ATLC S OF 31N W OF 65W... SHEARLINE MENTIONED ABOVE COMBINING WITH HIGH PRES TO THE NNW TO PRODUCE A BROAD ZONE OF 20-25 KT WINDS AND SEAS TO 8 FT NE OF THE N HALF OF BAHAMAS AND THROUGH THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA...WHILE FRESHENING EASTERLIES TO THE S WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AS SANDY DEEPENS NEXT 24-36 HOURS. SANDY OF MAIN FOCUS OF FORECAST. HIGH PRES WILL REMAIN N AND NW OF SANDY AS IT EXITS CARIBBEAN NEXT 48 HOURS AND COMBINE WITH MONSOONAL ORIGINS TO PRODUCE VERY LARGE WIND FIELD SHIFTING NNE WITH SANDY. CURRENT NELY FETCH N OF SHEAR LINE ALREADY YIELDING 6-8 FT SEAS NE OF BAHAMAS AND 5-6 FT ALONG THE FLORIDA COASTS. VERY DANGEROUS SCENARIO IS DEVELOPING WITH SANDY AS SUFFICIENTLY SLOW MOVEMENT...PRE EXISTING HIGH SEAS...VERY LARGE WIND FIELD...AND ONSHORE FLOW DURING HIGH LUNAR TIDES COULD SPELL EXTREME COASTAL FLOODING AND EROSION FOR FLORIDA AND CERTAINLY BAHAMAS WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT. WW3 FORECASTING 12 FT SEAS TO REACH CENTRAL FLORIDA COAST BY 18Z THU WITH SEAS BUILDING 20-35 FT WITHIN THE COASTAL WATERS BY 18Z FRI. THIS COULD EVOLVE INTO A HISTORICAL EVENT AND FO'S ARE ENCOURAGED TO ADVERTISE THIS EVENT VERY HARD. NELY SWELL WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT FLORIDA AND SE COASTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH LONGER PERIOD SWELL INDUCING SUSTAINED RUNUP.
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