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Random Chaos
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland

Re: Potential Northeast Storm
Sun Nov 04 2012 03:12 AM

Not really the place for this, but given it's potential affect on NY/NJ recovery, I feel I should respond to jkapust's question:

All major long term global models are now showing a major Nor'easter developing off the coast next week and affecting the recovery area. ECMWF looks like it could have an eye-like structure in the core, similar to what has been seen in some of the more powerful extratropical cyclones, such as the 2006 Blizzard. GFS and ECMWF are showing the potential for significant snowfall on the landward side of the system, though it's too far out to say for certainty what might happen and where a rain/snow line might develop. I do not have a source to look at the CMC and UKMET models in the ways needed to evaluate snow potential.

Definitely something that people living in the areas hit by Sandy need to keep an eye on over the next few days.

--

Edit: Update follows:

ECMWF Wind Field - 12Z model on 11-4-12 at 81 hours:

SLOSH model - 11-4-12:

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Nov 05 2012 05:37 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Potential Northeast Storm	jkapust	Sun Nov 04 2012 03:12 AM
Re: Potential Northeast Storm	Random Chaos	Sun Nov 04 2012 03:12 AM

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