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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Storm Forum
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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Outlook for 2013
      Fri Apr 05 2013 11:23 AM

The latest SST trends and ENSO forecasts still suggest a neutral ENSO year (on the negative side of neutral in the -0.1 to -0.5 range). These SST projections prompt a new set of analog years as follows:

1996 13/9/6
2001 15/9/4
1981 12/7/3

The tropical Atlantic basin should be a little cooler than last year but still above normal, so I'm going back to my initial thoughts for a slightly above normal season of activity with a forecast of 13/8/3.

The latest forecast issued today from TSR remains unchanged at 15/8/3. CSR issues its numerical forecast for the season on April 10th.

You can enter your own guesstimate for the season (no rational required) until this thread closes on June 1st.
Cheers,
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator Fri Apr 05 2013 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri May 31 2013 08:34 PM
. * * Outlook for 2013 - Final Results Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Nov 25 2013 12:54 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 vpbob21   Fri May 31 2013 05:58 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Doombot!   Fri May 31 2013 05:31 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 IMTechspec   Thu May 30 2013 07:10 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Lamar-Plant City   Thu May 30 2013 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Bloodstar   Fri May 31 2013 01:04 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Lamar-Plant City   Fri May 31 2013 01:42 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 DMFischer   Thu May 30 2013 05:18 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 cieldumort   Mon May 27 2013 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 cieldumort   Tue May 28 2013 01:53 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun May 26 2013 12:40 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 JimB   Sun May 26 2013 09:28 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Joeyfl   Sun May 26 2013 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 ftlaudbob   Mon May 27 2013 01:59 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 SchexStorm   Mon May 27 2013 07:04 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 gsand   Sun May 12 2013 09:19 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Wingman51   Mon May 13 2013 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 weatherhead   Mon May 13 2013 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 CarolinaGurl   Tue May 21 2013 09:10 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 stormtiger   Tue May 21 2013 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Kigeliakitten   Sat May 11 2013 04:12 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 beachcrafts   Thu May 02 2013 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 rmbjoe1954   Wed Mar 20 2013 12:37 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Mar 08 2013 12:09 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Apr 05 2013 11:23 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri May 03 2013 12:13 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 GlenJohnson   Sat May 04 2013 10:14 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Hurricane29   Sat May 11 2013 12:44 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 MikeCAdministrator   Tue May 28 2013 07:52 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Fletch   Tue May 28 2013 11:34 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 dolfinatic   Tue May 28 2013 12:12 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Storm Hunter   Tue May 28 2013 10:30 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 eulogia   Wed May 29 2013 07:19 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Apr 10 2013 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 rmbjoe1954   Wed Apr 10 2013 12:05 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Apr 10 2013 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 doug   Wed May 01 2013 12:30 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 MichaelA   Wed May 01 2013 04:22 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 JoshuaK   Sat Apr 27 2013 09:04 AM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 B.C.Francis   Mon Mar 11 2013 04:35 PM
. * * Re: Outlook for 2013 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Mar 12 2013 07:51 AM

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