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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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danielwAdministrator
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Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean
      Tue Jul 09 2013 11:07 AM

NHC has bumped the wind speed up to 60 MPH after Chantal 'shot the CATL gap' and has moved into the Eastern Caribbean.

TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032013
1100 AM AST TUE JUL 09 2013

THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION IS NOT DISTINCT BUT EXCELLENT RADAR DATA
FROM BARBADOS AND MARTINIQUE SHOW THE WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF
CHANTAL MOVING RAPIDLY WESTWARD ABOUT 25 KNOTS BETWEEN MARTINIQUE
AN ST. LUCIA. A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REPORTED FLIGHT LEVEL WINDS OF
70 TO 75 KT NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER EARLIER TODAY WITH A MINIMUM
PRESSURE OF 1003 MB. SINCE THAT TIME...THE PRESSURE HAS LEVELED OFF
TO ABOUT 1006 MB. BASED ON MORE REPRESENTIVE OBSERVATIONS FROM THE
PLANE...AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS...THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS SET AT 50
KNOTS. THE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF CHANTAL IS NOT VERY FAVORABLE FOR
INTENSIFICATION...AND ONLY A SLIGHT INCREASE IN THE WINDS IS
FORECAST BEFORE CHANTAL CROSSES HISPANIOLA. THE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO REMAIN UNFAVORABLE IN THE AREA OF THE BAHAMAS FOR
SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT...AND ONLY SMALL STRENGTHENING IS
ANTICIPATED AFTER THE CYCLONE CROSSES HISPANIOLA. THIS IS IN
AGREEMENT WITH THE TREND OF THE SHIPS/LGEM MODELS.

CHANTAL IS RACING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 25
KNOTS. I AM SURPRISED THE SYSTEM EVEN HAS A CLOSED CIRCULATION
MOVING AT THAT SPEED.... edited~danielw

Forecaster Avila

Edited by danielw (Tue Jul 09 2013 11:10 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Watching two Low Chance Areas MikeCAdministrator Tue Jul 09 2013 11:07 AM
. * * Re: INVEST 97L and area near the Bahamas. danielwAdministrator   Wed Jul 17 2013 03:13 AM
. * * INVEST 97L and area near the Bahamas. danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 16 2013 03:28 PM
. * * Re: Watching two Low Chance Areas doug   Sat Jul 13 2013 09:22 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Chantal doug   Fri Jul 12 2013 07:33 AM
. * * Re: Remnants of Chantal berrywr   Thu Jul 11 2013 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of Chantal MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 11 2013 05:52 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of Chantal Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 11 2013 01:07 PM
. * * Re: Remnants of Chantal Lamar-Plant City   Thu Jul 11 2013 10:33 AM
. * * Remnants of Chantal Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 11 2013 10:21 AM
. * * chantel north of hispanola Robert   Wed Jul 10 2013 11:58 PM
. * * Re: Chantal In the Eastern Caribbean ftlaudbob   Wed Jul 10 2013 04:37 PM
. * * Re: Chantal In the Eastern Caribbean berrywr   Wed Jul 10 2013 04:28 PM
. * * Re: Chantal Barely a Storm in the Caribbean berrywr   Wed Jul 10 2013 04:09 PM
. * * Re: Chantal In the Eastern Caribbean ftlaudbob   Wed Jul 10 2013 01:55 PM
. * * Re: Chantal In the Eastern Caribbean LoisCane   Wed Jul 10 2013 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Barely a Storm in the Caribbean Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Jul 10 2013 10:32 AM
. * * Re: Chantal In the Eastern Caribbean OrlandoDan   Wed Jul 10 2013 05:41 AM
. * * Re: Chantal In the Eastern Caribbean typhoon_tip   Wed Jul 10 2013 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Chantal In the Eastern Caribbean cieldumort   Wed Jul 10 2013 01:51 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Into the Caribbean Sea typhoon_tip   Wed Jul 10 2013 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Into the Caribbean Sea berrywr   Tue Jul 09 2013 11:33 PM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean scottsvb   Tue Jul 09 2013 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean typhoon_tip   Tue Jul 09 2013 01:31 PM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Into the Caribbean Sea Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 01:08 PM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean Hawkeyewx   Tue Jul 09 2013 09:44 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 09:42 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 09:33 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 09:32 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 08:52 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean danielwAdministrator   Tue Jul 09 2013 08:33 AM
. * * Re: Chantal Moves Toward the Caribbean LoisCane   Mon Jul 08 2013 11:37 PM

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