The 6Z GFS animation) weakens Dorian a bit as it gets halfway to the Caribbean islands, but then regains as it goes just north of the Caribbean islands, through the southern Bahamas, and keeps it moving west, eventually into Southeast Florida and then turns it up the spine of Florida. Main feature causing this is the ridge north and misses a trough that would turn it more north early. This is a long time to keep it going west like that, possible, but I'm sure this will change over the next few days.
The euro loses dorian, around the same time the GFS weakens it. As small and "healthy" as this storm is now, the Euro may not be a good indicator currently.
Climatology still suggests Dorian will curve before making it to the US, but currently there is enough evidence to support that it may not, so it will need to be watched this week and next. That said, odds are, that it will recurve before getting that far west. That said, those in the cone, Florida, and Southeast up through North Carolina will want to check back in next week.
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