It's going through a rough area today and may not make it (as a storm). It's small enough to possibly hang on though, but there still isn't much to suggest it moving poleward anytime soon. Especially if it stays weak across most of the Atlantic, in fact the GFS plows it into or skirts just north of Hispaniola and then into Cuba, still going westward the entire time. The ridging forecast remains strong, but it's well into forecast crazy land that far out (talking about Aug 1st-2nd)
Euro still has it falling apart, but that model has more trouble with tiny systems.
Right now the forecast "cone" is about is good as a forecast you can get, and immediately beyond I don't see anything turning it poleward immediately after it, but if a weakness in the ridge does form it may be possible. Probably will have a better idea on Tuesday once it gets just north of the eastern Caribbean.
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