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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge

doug
Weather Analyst

Reged:
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl

Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge
Mon Jul 29 2013 11:42 AM

A quick run through the floater loops suggests to me that it is still a trough. The outflow looks less impressive this morning. The influence of the ULL to its NW is pronounced on the west side preventing any evacuation along its western edge. It has completely separated from the tropical convergence zone and will have to generate its energy internally for the most part. In that regard pressures are relatively high in the immediate surroundings 1016-1018, and it will have to sustain convective development in order to do so. Right now I think most of the convection is of diffluent origin, i.e. interaction with the ULL, particularly to the west of the base of the trough, which may spell the end of the system if it cannot develop a consistent convective core near the base of the trough. I think the NHC has correctly called this a toss up and I have no sense that further development in the sense of cyclone regeneration will occur.

--------------------
doug

Edited by doug (Mon Jul 29 2013 11:46 AM)

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Dorian Forecast Lounge	cieldumort	Mon Jul 29 2013 11:42 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Jul 24 2013 05:50 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Wed Jul 24 2013 06:04 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Jul 24 2013 07:25 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Thu Jul 25 2013 05:31 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Jul 25 2013 11:19 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Thu Jul 25 2013 03:09 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Thu Jul 25 2013 04:22 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	doug	Thu Jul 25 2013 04:36 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Thu Jul 25 2013 05:32 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Thu Jul 25 2013 09:06 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Jul 26 2013 12:51 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Fri Jul 26 2013 10:57 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Fri Jul 26 2013 11:12 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Jul 26 2013 02:34 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Jul 26 2013 04:25 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	doug	Fri Jul 26 2013 07:46 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	JimB	Fri Jul 26 2013 07:59 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Jul 26 2013 09:56 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Sat Jul 27 2013 04:23 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	OrlandoDan	Sat Jul 27 2013 09:17 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 27 2013 04:31 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	Ed Dunham	Sat Jul 27 2013 04:55 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	Random Chaos	Sat Jul 27 2013 07:39 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	panhandler	Sun Jul 28 2013 02:59 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 28 2013 08:30 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	JMII	Sun Jul 28 2013 09:12 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Sun Jul 28 2013 09:25 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Mon Jul 29 2013 12:09 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Mon Jul 29 2013 03:06 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	doug	Mon Jul 29 2013 11:42 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Mon Jul 29 2013 03:03 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	doug	Mon Jul 29 2013 04:04 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	JMII	Mon Jul 29 2013 09:51 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Tue Jul 30 2013 02:12 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	Random Chaos	Fri Aug 02 2013 01:36 AM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	doug	Fri Aug 02 2013 01:50 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	JMII	Fri Aug 02 2013 02:20 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Fri Aug 02 2013 02:10 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Thu Jul 25 2013 04:55 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	doug	Wed Jul 24 2013 07:51 PM
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge	panhandler	Wed Jul 24 2013 10:00 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge	ftlaudbob	Wed Jul 24 2013 10:38 AM
Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Jul 24 2013 01:51 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge	danielw	Wed Jul 24 2013 01:58 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge	MikeC	Wed Jul 24 2013 02:21 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge	MichaelA	Wed Jul 24 2013 03:56 PM
Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge	LoisCane	Wed Jul 24 2013 04:56 PM

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