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Models are starting to notice trof in the Gulf. Could become yet another TD-like system this weekend, even if not named. #txwx
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 333 (Nicholas) , Major: 349 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1403 (Michael) Major: 1403 (Michael)
 


Archives 2000s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge

doug
Weather Analyst


Reged: Mon
Posts: 1006
Loc: parrish,fl
Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge
      Fri Aug 02 2013 09:50 AM

And so it continues: latest visible shows some form of llc east of Vero with little vertical development near by, and most convection well south. This is the Gulf Stream, it is early August , and the environment is moist...the Outlook did not emphasize unfavorable conditions...and I suggest this be taken seriously.
If memory serves me correctly Katrina was born under a similar circumstance: a persistent vortex had meandered across the Atlantic and had been classified and then declassified in its crossing. One August day it wandered into the coastal waters of SE Florida and caught a breath and rapidly intensified. Not saying that will happen here but the possibility for rapid close in intensification is always something to consider.

Update: 10:15 base reflectivity suggests a weak surface rotation east of the coast between Ft. Pierce and Port St Lucie. Only scattered showers ...

--------------------
doug

Edited by doug (Fri Aug 02 2013 10:14 AM)

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Dorian Forecast Lounge cieldumort Fri Aug 02 2013 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 01:50 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Wed Jul 24 2013 02:04 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 03:25 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 25 2013 01:31 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 25 2013 07:19 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Jul 25 2013 11:09 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 25 2013 12:22 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Thu Jul 25 2013 12:36 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 25 2013 01:32 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Jul 25 2013 05:06 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Jul 25 2013 08:51 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Fri Jul 26 2013 06:57 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 26 2013 07:12 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 26 2013 10:34 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 26 2013 12:25 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Jul 26 2013 03:46 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge JimB   Fri Jul 26 2013 03:59 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Jul 26 2013 05:56 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sat Jul 27 2013 12:23 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge OrlandoDan   Sat Jul 27 2013 05:17 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Jul 27 2013 12:31 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Jul 27 2013 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Sat Jul 27 2013 03:39 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge panhandler   Sun Jul 28 2013 10:59 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 28 2013 04:30 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge JMII   Sun Jul 28 2013 05:12 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 28 2013 05:25 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 28 2013 08:09 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Sun Jul 28 2013 11:06 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Jul 29 2013 07:42 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Mon Jul 29 2013 11:03 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Mon Jul 29 2013 12:04 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge JMII   Mon Jul 29 2013 05:51 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Mon Jul 29 2013 10:12 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge Random Chaos   Thu Aug 01 2013 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Fri Aug 02 2013 09:50 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge JMII   Fri Aug 02 2013 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Fri Aug 02 2013 10:10 AM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Thu Jul 25 2013 12:55 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge doug   Wed Jul 24 2013 03:51 PM
. * * Re: Dorian Forecast Lounge panhandler   Wed Jul 24 2013 06:00 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge ftlaudbob   Wed Jul 24 2013 06:38 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 09:51 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 09:58 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 24 2013 10:21 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge MichaelA   Wed Jul 24 2013 11:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Depression Four Forecast Lounge LoisCane   Wed Jul 24 2013 12:56 PM

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