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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge

berrywr
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge)
      Wed Aug 14 2013 02:59 AM

I looked at the both the 14/00Z GFS and 13/12Z ECMWF and took a look at the UKMET as well; for the moment there is no consensus with the GFS and ECMWF; the gurus at WPC and NHC for the moment are leaning with the ECMWF and UKMET which moves the system generally west-northwest. The GFS can't be dismissed if you believe the upper level trough retrogrades back towards the west and the upper level ridge over the WAO builds westward in the days ahead. I'm not going to venture a guess...it's mute until this system gains some vertical structure and depth.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) doug Wed Aug 14 2013 02:59 AM
. * * Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 14 2013 10:21 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) berrywr   Wed Aug 14 2013 11:36 PM
. * * Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) berrywr   Wed Aug 14 2013 02:59 AM
. * * Re: Wave in Central Carribean (Invest 92L Forecast Lounge) MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 14 2013 07:16 AM
. * * Invest 92L Forecast Lounge cieldumort   Tue Aug 13 2013 06:53 PM
. * * Re: Invest 92L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Tue Aug 13 2013 08:03 PM

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