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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2013 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst


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Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL
Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic
      Wed Aug 14 2013 06:23 PM

I just updated the Facebook page...yesterday the GFS was the outlier; today it's 50-50 and the ECMWF has shifted further north. Keep an eye on the upper level trough situated over the eastern US and look for it to retrograde westward; Currently there is an upper low in the South Central Gulf of Mexico squarely centered between the upper ridge over South Central US and another upper ridge over Central Cuba...at 300 millibars there is a clear trough axis in the extreme southern GOM and excellent upper air difluence between it and the upper ridge over Cuba that has enhanced convective elements of 92L. I didn't post that low in my discussion but the GFS has had a good handle on it now for a few days; it can't be dismissed and the CIMMS Tropical website is down so I don't have access to the shear analysis but I'm not convinced that down the road this will be a pure tropical cyclone given the upper air environment.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Erin Forms, West Caribbean Wave Struggles MikeCAdministrator Wed Aug 14 2013 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic berrywr   Fri Aug 16 2013 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Aug 16 2013 09:38 AM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic doug   Fri Aug 16 2013 09:03 AM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic berrywr   Fri Aug 16 2013 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic LoisCane   Thu Aug 15 2013 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Thu Aug 15 2013 11:07 AM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic doug   Thu Aug 15 2013 07:22 AM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic berrywr   Thu Aug 15 2013 12:16 AM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic weatherguy08   Wed Aug 14 2013 11:22 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic ralphfla   Wed Aug 14 2013 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic Random Chaos   Wed Aug 14 2013 11:09 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic ralphfla   Wed Aug 14 2013 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 14 2013 09:34 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic ralphfla   Wed Aug 14 2013 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic Random Chaos   Wed Aug 14 2013 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic danielwAdministrator   Wed Aug 14 2013 07:54 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic berrywr   Wed Aug 14 2013 06:23 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic berrywr   Wed Aug 14 2013 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic Hawkeyewx   Wed Aug 14 2013 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic Joeyfl   Wed Aug 14 2013 03:17 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 14 2013 02:52 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic Tazmanian93   Wed Aug 14 2013 01:57 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic Wingman51   Wed Aug 14 2013 01:24 PM
. * * Re: Watching Waves in Caribbean and East Atlantic berrywr   Wed Aug 14 2013 03:07 AM

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