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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)
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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge
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typhoon_tip
Meteorologist


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Posts: 576
Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge
      Wed Oct 02 2013 06:47 PM

Conditions have changed since Ed brought our attention to this feature.

Currently, TPC has heightened the area to a high chance for development. The outlook is uncertain out in time, as usual. This time it is because, although currently the system has acquired good upper level outflow, southwest shear is slated to evolve as the system [ likely ] moves northwest, then toward the north or northeastern Gulf.

Nevertheless, currently the system appears very near enough organization to initiate advisories, when observing high resolution satellite loops. As said it has very good upper level anticyclonic outflow. It has a cyclonic banded appearance on late day imagery, and parcels of very cold cloud top convection erupting near the perceived axis of rotation.

Recon was supposed to investigate this disturbance this afternoon.

John

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Karen Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Wed Oct 02 2013 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Sun Oct 06 2013 01:25 PM
. * * Administrative Note Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Oct 06 2013 03:14 PM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Sat Oct 05 2013 03:56 PM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge JoshuaK   Sun Oct 06 2013 07:38 AM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge typhoon_tip   Wed Oct 02 2013 06:47 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Oct 03 2013 08:49 AM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Oct 04 2013 12:33 AM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge Rasvar   Fri Oct 04 2013 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 04 2013 07:02 AM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Fri Oct 04 2013 08:54 AM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge Owlguin   Fri Oct 04 2013 08:59 AM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 04 2013 10:25 AM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 04 2013 11:47 AM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Oct 04 2013 02:27 PM
. * * Re: Karen Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Fri Oct 04 2013 11:20 PM
. * * Re: Invest 97L Forecast Lounge mcgowanmc   Thu Oct 03 2013 12:32 PM

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