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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 42 (Milton) , Major: 42 (Milton) Florida - Any: 42 (Milton) Major: 42 (Milton)

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Archives 2010s >> 2013 News Talkbacks

berrywr
Weather Analyst

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Posts: 387
Loc: Opelika, AL

Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued
Thu Oct 03 2013 05:26 PM

Let me add...those of us in this line of work are always careful as to what type of analysis we're doing. There's NOWCASTING which is exactly what the name implies...right now which is perfect for severe weather because that's happening in real time so every little aspect of a given weather situ is poured over with fine tooth brush. We'd do the same thing as we get within a day of landfall of any of these systems...now, we don't care what's going on on these extreme microscale analysis of vortices, what these clouds look like...none of that matters. What does are these large processes that are on a synoptic scale...big stuff. Tropical Storms/Hurricanes and Upper level Longwaves/Shortwaves are like magnets repelling each other but at the end of the day Longwaves and Shortwaves win out...that's the shear we see on these analysis way up in the atmosphere where these winds will shear the tops off any developing thunderstorms and these systems cannot deepen. These little structural changes undergoing are of so little significance given the overall synoptic pattern. If this was a major storm, oh you bet it would matter and this gov't shutdown would take on a whole new meaning if one of those were out there but it's October. At this point we can't rule out it becoming a hybrid or subtropical as we towards the weekend. Right now it's a sheared system as evident on visible satellite imagery. Check our Facebook page out... its FLHurricane.com there.

--------------------
Sincerely,

Bill Berry

"Survived Trigonometry and Calculus I"

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
A Messy Karen in Central Gulf	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 05:26 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Sun Oct 06 2013 12:58 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	OrlandoDan	Sat Oct 05 2013 02:39 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Sat Oct 05 2013 04:35 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Sat Oct 05 2013 02:06 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Fri Oct 04 2013 08:12 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Fri Oct 04 2013 08:03 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	Lamar-Plant City	Fri Oct 04 2013 05:06 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Fri Oct 04 2013 04:33 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	scottsvb	Fri Oct 04 2013 10:58 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Fri Oct 04 2013 10:49 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Fri Oct 04 2013 02:29 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Fri Oct 04 2013 02:01 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Fri Oct 04 2013 01:49 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Fri Oct 04 2013 01:30 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	SirCane	Thu Oct 03 2013 10:25 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Thu Oct 03 2013 08:46 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	danielw	Thu Oct 03 2013 08:27 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	ralphfla	Thu Oct 03 2013 07:23 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MichaelA	Thu Oct 03 2013 07:09 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	berrywr	Thu Oct 03 2013 05:26 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	berrywr	Thu Oct 03 2013 05:16 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 03 2013 04:52 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 04:25 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 03:34 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 03 2013 02:46 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	Fairhopian	Thu Oct 03 2013 02:13 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	typhoon_tip	Thu Oct 03 2013 12:43 PM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	Fairhopian	Thu Oct 03 2013 11:57 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 11:53 AM
Re: Tropical Karen forms in Southern Gulf, Hurricane & Tropical Storm Watches Issued	MikeC	Thu Oct 03 2013 09:50 AM

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