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PTC#16 Forms. Tropical Warning up Cape Fear, NC, to Fenwick Island, DE Storm Surge Watches up from Surf City, North Carolina to Chincoteague, VA, and the Chesapeake Bay south of Smith Point, including Albemarle and Pamlico Sounds.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 22 (Idalia) , Major: 22 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 22 (Idalia) Major: 22 (Idalia)
42.2N 45.0W
Wind: 85MPH
Pres: 977mb
Moving:
Ne at 30 mph
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29.0N 75.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1012mb
Moving:
N at 9 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2013 Storm Forum

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - Subtropical Storm Melissa in Central Atlantic
      Sun Nov 17 2013 06:17 PM

At 17/18Z, Invest 98L was located in the central Atlantic near 25.5N 53.1W with sustained winds of 35knots, a central pressure of 1002MB and movement to the north northwest at 5 knots. With its upper-level origins, windshear is not as much of a factor. SST at the current location of the system is 28C, however, with expected movement to the north and eventually north northeast, the system will encounter cooler SSTs although hybrid systems are not as significantly impacted by lower SSTs until about 25C. Additional development seems likely and so does eventual direct upgrade to 'Melissa' - probably as a subtropical storm. Many of the model outputs suggest robust intensification by midweek.
ED

(Title updated to reflect current storm status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Mon Nov 18 2013 10:47 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Interest - Subtropical Storm Melissa in Central Atlantic Doombot! Sun Nov 17 2013 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Subtropical Storm Melissa in Central Atlantic Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Nov 17 2013 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Storm Melissa in North Atlantic Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Nov 21 2013 07:49 PM

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