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June 1st is the official start of the Hurricane Season, but the NHC starts issuing outlooks today. Nothing in the Atlantic right now.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 201 (Zeta) , Major: 263 (Laura) Florida - Any: 950 (Michael) Major: 950 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge
      Sun Jun 29 2014 10:50 AM

As noted above, organization is much improved this morning with convection starting to consolidate around the center and banding beginning to develop on the west side of the center. All of the late-cycle models now bring the system either very close to or over east central Florida - probably as a modest tropical storm. Given the upswing in organization and the continued retrogression of the Gulf ridge, the model consensus certainly seems like a viable solution. Current motion is south, perhaps starting to lean toward south southwest at 5 or 6 knots, however, central pressure still remains high. Regarding intensification, the proximity to land is likely to be offset by the proximity to the Gulf Stream.
ED

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Arthur Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Sun Jun 29 2014 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 02:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 30 2014 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 01 2014 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 11:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 01 2014 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge doug   Tue Jul 01 2014 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 02 2014 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Prospero   Wed Jul 02 2014 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Wed Jul 02 2014 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 02 2014 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 03 2014 08:26 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 03 2014 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Arthur Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 03 2014 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 03 2014 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 01 2014 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 30 2014 06:37 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 29 2014 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 29 2014 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge doug   Sun Jun 29 2014 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 28 2014 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge doug   Sun Jun 29 2014 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 29 2014 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge rmbjoe1954   Sat Jun 28 2014 12:59 PM

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