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Archives 2010s >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge
      Mon Jun 30 2014 06:37 AM

Model runs this morning match up with earlier, Euro keeps it weak until late tomorrow before gradually moving it more north-northeast(brushing in/along the outer Banks)

The GFS model moves it closer to Florida and inland, which would mean much more rainfall before heading more north-northeast (closer to the Euro).

General lounge thought this morning is that it stays east of Florida (but still close enough to bring some heavy bands of rainfall to East Central Florida, and parts of South Florida). Then starts heading toward the SC/NC outer banks, which is may clip, or possibly hit a bit inland.

Late Tomorrow is the most likely time for development, but it could be anytime between late today and Wednesday. It's currently just north of due east of Cape Canaveral and moving south or south southwest. This movement is causing havoc with general convection, and the center is still a bit tough to discern. If it can slow down enough and maintain itself near/over the Gulf Stream it has a window to intensify. Right now it's just some rain and a low pressure area amongst relatively high pressures.

For Florida it just means we may have some very heavy rains and possible flooding.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Arthur Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator Mon Jun 30 2014 06:37 AM
. * * Re: Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 02:00 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 30 2014 09:31 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 01 2014 09:53 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 11:04 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 11:54 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 01 2014 12:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge doug   Tue Jul 01 2014 12:38 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 02 2014 09:47 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Prospero   Wed Jul 02 2014 10:20 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Wed Jul 02 2014 12:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jul 02 2014 06:11 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 03 2014 08:26 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 03 2014 10:54 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Arthur Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Jul 03 2014 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Hurricane Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 03 2014 08:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 08:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 02:43 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jul 01 2014 05:50 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Arthur Forecast Lounge Lamar-Plant City   Tue Jul 01 2014 01:54 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Mon Jun 30 2014 06:37 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sun Jun 29 2014 08:11 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sun Jun 29 2014 10:50 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge doug   Sun Jun 29 2014 03:26 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jun 28 2014 09:41 PM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge doug   Sun Jun 29 2014 09:02 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge danielwAdministrator   Sun Jun 29 2014 10:12 AM
. * * Re: Invest 91L Forecast Lounge rmbjoe1954   Sat Jun 28 2014 12:59 PM

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