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Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26

Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 272 (Idalia) , Major: 272 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 272 (Idalia) Major: 272 (Idalia)

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Archives 2010s >> 2014 News Talkbacks

MikeC
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Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL

Re: Watching Area East of Melbourne (91L)
Mon Jun 30 2014 08:54 PM

Highlighting the fact that the NHC release a special Tropical weather outlook:

Special outlook issued to update discussion of the area of low
pressure east of Florida.

Updated: An Air Force Reserve unit reconnaissance aircraft is
investigating the area of low pressure centered about 110 miles east
of Melbourne, Florida. While the low is well defined, the
associated thunderstorm activity is just below the organizational
threshold required to initiate tropical cyclone advisories.
Environmental conditions continue to be favorable for development,
and only a slight increase in the organization and persistence of
the thunderstorm activity would result in the formation of a
tropical depression.

Data from the reconnaissance aircraft indicate that peak sustained
winds with the low are about 30-35 mph. The low is moving
southwestward at around 5 mph, but is expected to turn westward
tonight and northward by Wednesday when it will be near the east
coast of Florida. If this system becomes a tropical cyclone, a
tropical storm watch could be required for portions of the central
or northern Atlantic coast of Florida. A turn toward the northeast
near the southeastern U.S. coast is expected by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

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Subject	Posted by	Posted on
Watching Area East of Melbourne (91L)	MikeC	Mon Jun 30 2014 08:54 PM
Re: Watching Area East of Melbourne (91L)	typhoon_tip	Mon Jun 30 2014 10:41 PM
Re: Watching Area East of Melbourne (91L)	MikeC	Mon Jun 30 2014 08:54 PM
Re: Watching Area East of Melbourne (91L)	MikeC	Mon Jun 30 2014 07:40 PM
Re: Watching Area East of Cape Canaveral (91L)	MikeC	Mon Jun 30 2014 06:36 PM
Re: Watching Area East of Cape Canaveral (91L)	MikeC	Mon Jun 30 2014 04:30 PM
Re: Watching Area East of St. Augustine (91L)	Ed Dunham	Mon Jun 30 2014 04:17 AM
Re: Watching Area East of St. Augustine (91L)	MikeC	Mon Jun 30 2014 02:28 AM
Re: Watching Area East of St. Augustine (91L)	MikeC	Sun Jun 29 2014 06:15 PM
Re: Watching Area off South Carolina (91L)	MikeC	Sun Jun 29 2014 04:58 PM
Re: Watching Area off South Carolina (91L)	danielw	Sun Jun 29 2014 02:14 PM

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