Special Central Pacific Forecast Lounge: Double Trouble Hurricanes Iselle & Julio

It's crazy busy out there. It all seemed to start with Wali a couple weeks ago and it hasn't let up since. About a week ago there were 4 systems noted on the CPHC's TWO which is ridiculous for that basin.

Iselle and TD 10-E / future Julio - the models seem to have reversed on these 2 systems with Iselle now progged to move over or just north of the islands and TD 10-E expected to pass south a couple days later. The cool water east of Hawaii tends to protect them from strong storms but the NHC is still forecasting about a 50-60 mph TS as Iselle reaches Hawaii. My thinking is that might be a little aggressive but we'll have to wait and see. TD 10-E / future Julio could be a powerful hurricane as it passes the islands depending on how far south it can stay. High surf on the south facing beaches would likely be the biggest threat.

Genevieve - if this system could have stayed classified all of the past few days it might have had a chance to approach the record of 1994's John for longest lasting TC. As it stands if it can survive the next couple days Genevieve figures to have an impressively long run. The GFS develops it into a potent typhoon after it crosses the date line and finally recurves it east of Japan near the end of its run. Hopefully it can avoid all land areas, although it may come pretty close to Wake Island in about a week.

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