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vpbob21
Weather Guru


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Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
Re: Central Pacific: TS Ana to approach Hawai'i
      Tue Oct 14 2014 06:18 PM

Hawaii is really going to have to watch this one. Ana looks quite a bit more threatening than Iselle was for a couple of reasons. First, Ana should be approaching from the southeast which will mean it should have warmer SST's to pass over on its approach. Second, shear doesn't look like it's going to be much of an issue with Ana.

I think the intensity forecast from CPHC looks pretty conservative. SST's aren't super-warm (27-27.5 C) but I would think warm enough to support at least a strong Cat 2 storm.

Still a lot of model runs to go before the track becomes clear but if I were anywhere in the Hawaiian Islands I'd be starting to prepare now for a hurricane.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Central Pacific: TS Ana to approach Hawai'i Stork Tue Oct 14 2014 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Central Pacific: TS Ana to approach Hawai'i Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Oct 16 2014 07:13 AM
. * * Re: Central Pacific: TS Ana to approach Hawai'i Ed DunhamAdministrator   Fri Oct 17 2014 09:34 AM
. * * Re: Central Pacific: TS Ana to approach Hawai'i vpbob21   Tue Oct 14 2014 06:18 PM
. * * Hawaiian Islands Due for Hurricane Rendezvous CoconutCandy   Wed Oct 15 2014 05:14 PM

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