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Bay of Campeche area now up to 40% chacce for development over the next 5 days. Heavy rain in the area likely.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 226 (Zeta) , Major: 289 (Laura) Florida - Any: 975 (Michael) Major: 975 (Michael)

Archives 2010s >> 2014 Forecast Lounge

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Reged: Wed
Posts: 174
Loc: One block off the Atlantic Oce...
Re: Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over?
      Wed Nov 05 2014 11:21 AM

Yes, that is a phenomenal run and the takeaway from 2014.

Though it appears the obese dame has sang for the season, the pesky stationary front extending north into the Atlantic from Puerto Rico is forecast to weaken into a surface trough today, then a closed low could develop Thursday and possibly deepen into a subtropical low departing in the open Atlantic well east of the Bahamas by Friday. Without the early/strong fronts scouring out moisture and heat in the GOMEX and SW Atlantic, this activity could've been much closer to home.

CoCoRaHS Weather Observer (FL-VL-42) & Surf Forecaster:

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over? doug Wed Nov 05 2014 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over? Ed DunhamAdministrator   Wed Nov 05 2014 12:35 AM
. * * Re: Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over? IsoFlame   Wed Nov 05 2014 11:21 AM
. * * Re: Has the pattern changed; is the 'season" over? B.C.Francis   Tue Nov 04 2014 06:49 PM

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