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Invest 94L just northeast of the ABC islands in the Caribbean moving west, 20% development chance. Another area near the Cabo Verde islands has a 20% chance to develop over the next 7 days.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 300 (Idalia) , Major: 300 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 300 (Idalia) Major: 300 (Idalia)
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News Talkback >> 2002 News Articles and Talkback
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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1299
Re: nope
      Thu Jul 04 2002 07:52 PM

I don't think you can really judge a tropical season based on what happens, or for that matter, does not happen, in June or July... Mid August to mid September is peak of season... We may see something develop later in July, but I give it 50-50 at best... When August rolls around, especially mid Aug, then things should start getting a lot more active... especially the start of the Cape Verdi storms

If we get though Aug and early Sept with no activity then something is not right for sure and this tropical system will be a wash... But I don't see that happening. I predicted 12 named storms back in May and I am sticking to that prediction.... I except at least three to four named storms by the end of August. Four to five named storms in Sept, three to four storms in October and possibly one in November.... for a total of twelve... I can't see anymore than that, and if anything maybe one or two less.... but for the record I'm sticking with 12.... I'll save the crow for thanksgiving if need be..

Smoked Turkey, Chicken, Crow... can't tell em apart... hehe

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Will the Trough Spin? CFHCAdministrator Thu Jul 04 2002 07:52 PM
. * * Re: Will the Trough Spin? Anonymous   Fri Jul 05 2002 11:31 AM
. * * First Atlantic System of the Season? Rich B   Fri Jul 05 2002 11:50 AM
. * * 93L (90L?) Anonymous (HF)   Fri Jul 05 2002 01:26 PM
. * * Re: 93L (90L?) Rich B   Fri Jul 05 2002 01:54 PM
. * * The first tropical storm? Anonymous   Fri Jul 05 2002 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Will the Trough Spin? Anonymous   Fri Jul 05 2002 11:26 AM
. * * Re: Will the Trough Spin? Anonymous   Fri Jul 05 2002 11:27 AM
. * * Re: Will the Trough Spin? Steve 777   Thu Jul 04 2002 10:30 AM
. * * Re: Will the Trough Spin? GaryC   Wed Jul 03 2002 10:55 AM
. * * nope Anonymous (HF)   Thu Jul 04 2002 12:49 AM
. * * Re: nope Anonymous   Thu Jul 04 2002 11:23 AM
. * * Re: nope Frank P   Thu Jul 04 2002 07:52 PM
. * * uhh.. yep? Anonymous (HF)   Fri Jul 05 2002 12:04 AM
. * * September Rad   Thu Jul 04 2002 09:28 AM

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