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Very quiet now as shear and dry Saharan air cover much of the Atlantic
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 294 (Nicholas) , Major: 310 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1364 (Michael) Major: 1364 (Michael)
 


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Hawkeyewx
Weather Analyst


Reged: Sun
Posts: 99
Re: Busy Map, Little Organization
      Sat Aug 27 2016 11:14 AM

If the shear had been half the strength over the last few days, I have no doubt 99L would be a tropical storm. This morning it's not quite as bad and the convection is trying to catch up to the surface spin a bit, but it really has to reach the gulf before the shear becomes favorable. A few days ago the euro expected the Bahamas to be a favorable area, but it flat out failed to predict the development of 91L. There is an upper low associated with 91L that is digging into the Bahamas and is moving west in tandem with 99L.

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Busy Map, Little Organization MikeCAdministrator Sat Aug 27 2016 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization MikeCAdministrator   Sun Aug 28 2016 12:11 AM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Aug 27 2016 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization Owlguin   Sat Aug 27 2016 08:01 PM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization Hawkeyewx   Sat Aug 27 2016 03:40 PM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization Hawkeyewx   Sat Aug 27 2016 01:37 PM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 27 2016 01:05 PM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization Hawkeyewx   Sat Aug 27 2016 11:14 AM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 27 2016 10:56 AM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization Robert   Sat Aug 27 2016 08:18 AM
. * * Re: Busy Map, Little Organization MikeCAdministrator   Sat Aug 27 2016 08:16 AM

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