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The well-defined Tropical Low (98L) continues producing heavy training rain with isolated tornadoes also possible today in S TX
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 336 (Nicholas) , Major: 351 (Ida) Florida - Any: 1405 (Michael) Major: 1405 (Michael)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2016 Forecast Lounge

cieldumort
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Reged: Mon
Posts: 2136
Loc: Austin, Tx
Re: Hurricane Nicole Lounge
      Thu Oct 06 2016 02:06 PM



Above: Hurricane Nicole Visible Image Oct 6, 2016 1737z

It was starting to look like Nicole may have reached hurricane strength overnight last night, but there has been precious little data to verify that with. However, as of 2PM EDT today, conventional satellite has become undeniable, and NHC has upgraded Nicole's status to an 80 MPH Cat 1 hurricane, the sixth hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season, and the title has been updated.

Being that Nicole is indeed significantly stronger than virtually all models forecast, the question of potential unexpected influences on the future track Matthew increase. In fact, the distance between one another are just close enough to potentially result in some degree of a Fujiwhara effect (binary interaction).

Nicole is officially forecast to stay out to sea, but a few model runs that were working with a stronger version of this cyclone and had not sent it racing off to the northeast later in the period, hinted at potential for a Bermuda and/or Nova Scotia impact, either as a strong tropical cyclone and/or as a potent hybridizing cyclone.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hur Nicole Lounge cieldumort Thu Oct 06 2016 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Hur Nicole Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 12 2016 10:44 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Nicole Lounge cieldumort   Thu Oct 06 2016 02:06 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Nicole Lounge Tazmanian93   Thu Oct 06 2016 11:15 PM
. * * Re: Trop Storm Nicole Lounge cieldumort   Wed Oct 05 2016 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Trop Storm Nicole Lounge madmumbler   Wed Oct 05 2016 11:00 AM
. * * Re: Trop Storm Nicole Lounge cieldumort   Tue Oct 04 2016 11:50 AM
. * * Re: INVEST 98L - Matthew Path cieldumort   Tue Oct 04 2016 07:50 AM
. * * Re: INVEST 98L - Matthew Path cieldumort   Sun Oct 02 2016 02:58 AM
. * * Re: C Atlantic P39L - Matthew Path cieldumort   Sat Oct 01 2016 03:30 AM
. * * Re: C Atlantic P39L - Matthew Path ftlaudbob   Sat Oct 01 2016 07:30 AM

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