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TD12 barely sustaining but Invest 91L causing serious flooding already and likely to become a named storm this week in W Carib
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Ian) , Major: 8 (Ian) Florida - Any: 8 (Ian) Major: 8 (Ian)
18.6N 36.8W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1010mb
Moving:
Wnw at 17 mph
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12.3N 71.9W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1004mb
Moving:
W at 15 mph
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Archives 2010s >> 2016 Storm Forum

Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged: Sun
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Area of Concern - Hurricane Otto
      Tue Nov 15 2016 02:54 PM

At 15/18Z, Invest 90L was located in the far southwest Caribbean Sea at 11,9N 78.0W drifting west northwest at 5 knots. 90L is disorganized at the moment with winds of 20 knots and a central pressure of 1009MB. SSTs are 30C and windshear is very light. Initial models slowly develop a modest tropical cyclone with little movement this week and eventually move it westward into Nicaragua in the Nov 22-23 timeframe, but the exact nature and movement of this system has yet to be determined.

HNC tags the development potential at 80%, so if it does make it that far, the next name on the list this season is Otto.
ED

Title updated to reflect upgrade to "Otto" - Ciel

Edited by Ed Dunham (Thu Nov 24 2016 07:38 AM)

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Subject Posted by Posted on
* Area of Concern - Hurricane Otto Ed DunhamAdministrator Tue Nov 15 2016 02:54 PM
. * * Re: Area of Concern - Hurricane Otto Ed DunhamAdministrator   Thu Nov 24 2016 08:11 AM
. * * Re: Area of Interest - Tropical Depression 16 Ed DunhamAdministrator   Mon Nov 21 2016 07:39 AM

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