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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 20 (Milton) , Major: 20 (Milton) Florida - Any: 20 (Milton) Major: 20 (Milton)
 


Archives 2010s >> 2017 Forecast Lounge

MikeCAdministrator
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Re: General 2017 Model Watching
      Fri Jul 07 2017 03:15 AM

Model runs tonight (TD#4 dissipates in all of them)

The new wave currently has multiple model support for strong development.

0z Euro starts to develop the wave currently over Africa in the Central Atlantic around July 12th, then it becomes a strong hurricane and goes through the Lesser Antilles July 16th (moving slowly as it crosses!) and ends the run July 17 as a major hurricane just east of the Virgin Islands.

0Z GFS starts to develop it moving west in the Central Atlantic on July 12th, has a major hurricane in the Lesser Antilles on July 15th, (slightly further south than the Euro) Gets disrupted by Hispaniola, and goes between Jamaica and Hispaniola on July 19th, then clips western Cuba and moves into the Gulf (weaker)

GFS Para does not develop it.

CMC develops it but loses it.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator Fri Jul 07 2017 03:15 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Sun Aug 27 2017 10:27 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Wed Aug 23 2017 04:22 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Mon Aug 14 2017 10:23 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Thu Aug 10 2017 03:37 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching vpbob21   Thu Aug 03 2017 01:49 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Tue Jun 27 2017 05:44 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Wed Jun 28 2017 06:51 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jun 30 2017 07:08 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Thu Jul 06 2017 01:14 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Fri Jul 07 2017 03:15 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 08 2017 09:14 AM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Sat Jul 08 2017 01:36 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching M.A.   Mon Jul 31 2017 06:09 PM
. * * Re: General 2017 Model Watching MikeCAdministrator   Wed Aug 02 2017 02:29 PM

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